U.S. Employee Confidence Level Improves Slightly
Confidence in current employment situation and job market remains unchanged from August
ATLANTA, Ga., October 9, 2014 – Confidence levels among workers rebounded slightly this month, however little changed month-over-month for nearly all aspects of the report. The September Randstad U.S. Employee Confidence Index, which tracks U.S. workers’ perspectives around jobs and the economy each month, increased to 56.4 from 55.9 in August. The Randstad Macroeconomic Confidence Index, measuring employees’ confidence in the overall strength of the economy, also rose one point to 45.9 from 44.9 in August, while the Randstad Personal Confidence Index, a measure of workers’ confidence in their own employment situation, remained relatively unchanged at 66.8, representing a 0.1 percentage point decrease from last month’s 66.9.
When it comes to workers’ confidence in their own employment situation, there was no significant change since August. The employee confidence study, conducted online by Harris Poll on behalf of Randstad among 1,058 employed U.S. adults ages 18 and older, found slightly more than one-quarter of workers (26 percent) say they are confident in the availability of jobs, the same percentage as last month. Similarly, 44 percent of workers say they are confident in their own ability to find a new job, a slight decrease from 45 percent in August. Finally, workers’ confidence in the future of their current employer remained unwavering with 60 percent saying they are confident. Only 13 percent of employees surveyed believe it is likely they will lose their job in the next 12 months.
“Although overall confidence levels among workers were little changed month-over-month, the index has remained well above our confidence threshold of 50 throughout 2014, compared to the start of the recession when it never climbed above the 40s,” said Jim Link, Chief HR Officer, Randstad North America. “With the nation’s impressive job gains of 248,000 in September and an unemployment rate below 6.0 for the first time since the recession, we expect to see further increases in employee confidence. The dynamics of a healthier job market such as pay increase demands, more frequent job changes and career mobility should put employers on notice as their top talent may be more susceptible to a career move. We’re advising our clients to pay greater attention to their workforce’s changing needs. Workers continue to gain optimism in their professions alongside the positive economic recovery.”
While the spotlight often falls on the monthly employment numbers, several economic indicators deserve further consideration as they are likely to shape the job market drastically in the coming years:
• Roughly 139 million people are on payroll today, more than at any other time in U.S. history.
• Part-time employment for economic reasons dropped last month, while unemployment continued its downward trajectory closing in on the 5.5 percent natural unemployment rate expected in 2015.
• About a third of the workforce is contingent or freelance. A recent survey commissioned by the Freelancers Union and Elance-oDesk says 53 million freelancers (including independent contractors, temporary workers and moonlighters) make up 34 percent of the U.S. workforce.
More than 70 million Baby Boomers will retire before 2030, according to the Social Security Administration. Georgetown University says Boomers’ absence in the workforce will help boost job openings by upwards of 30 million by 2020.
About Randstad US
Randstad US is a wholly owned subsidiary of Randstad Holding nv, a $22.0 billion global provider of HR services. As the third largest staffing organization in the U.S., Randstad holds top positions in permanent placement, office and administrative, IT and accounting and finance. From professional services, commercial staffing, recruitment process outsourcing, to managed services and more, Randstad delivers a comprehensive range of temporary, temporary-to-hire, permanent placement and outsourced placement services. With its 5,324 employment experts, Randstad puts an average of approximately 100,000 people to work in the U.S. each week, through its network of nearly 1,000 branches and client-dedicated locations.
Learn more at www.randstadusa.com and access Randstad’s panoramic U.S. thought leadership knowledge center through its Workforce360 site that offers valuable insight into the latest economic indicators and HR trends shaping the world of work.
This 2014 Randstad Employment Tracker was conducted online within the United States by Harris Poll on behalf of Randstad between September 9 - 11, 2014 among a U.S. sample of 1,058 employed adults, aged 18 years and older. Results were weighted as needed for age, sex, race/ethnicity, income, education, and region. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, the words “margin of error” are avoided as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Poll surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the online panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
About The Harris Poll
Over the last 5 decades, Harris Polls have become media staples. With comprehensive experience and precise technique in public opinion polling, along with a proven track record of uncovering consumers’ motivations and behaviors, The Harris Poll has gained strong brand recognition around the world. The Harris Poll offers a diverse portfolio of proprietary client solutions to transform relevant insights into actionable foresight for a wide range of industries including health care, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer packaged goods. Contact us for more information.